fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. 2,. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. 0:00:00 Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. . Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . . Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. By May 21, 2021 0 . Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Edit your transcribed text. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling."

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts